Prediction and Persona Marketing
November 23, 2008 at 5:56 am | In Neuropersona, Persona Expertise, Persona Marketing, Persona Strategy, Predictive Analytics, persona behaviour | Leave a CommentTags: Neuropersona, Persona Expertise, Persona Marketing, Persona Strategy
A Persona mask represents behaviours and may be worn or removed by someone as needed. We use the idea of a Persona to illuminate stories, processes and probabilities to serve people behind the Persona. I have trained marketers, accountants and executives in the art of Persona Marketing and to employ Persona Behaviour analysis techniques quickly and effectively. Two of the most powerful tools that help us understand Persona Behaviour are the Story Lens and Storyboard Maps.
Stories are at the core of a Persona mask and the Story Lens is the set represented by stories, processes, software, brands and KPIs or measures–stories on the left and numbers on the right,
Storyboards allow us to map, understand and communicate stories across the Story Lens quickly and simply. Numbers and coordinates are at the core of any map which is much more than a series of lines or a maze to be traversed.
The art of prediction, highly valued by marketers, accountants and bookmakers, starts with understanding what has happened to determine which activities may repeat (processes), whether the same tools (cars, software…) might be used again and the core drivers of previous activities. A critical component in successfully preparing for the future is the use of measures such as time, dollars, distance and others to add context to past behaviours and to probabilistically determine when and under which circumstances they might reoccur. Scenarios lift the art of preparing for future success to new heights and should be studied carefully once Personae and their relationship to stories and numbers become familiar.
A Persona mask combined with a Story Lens–stories, processes, software, brands and KPI’s or numbers, link vastly different perspectives required by marketers, accountants and executives. This is done by associating stories and numbers common to the different perspectives to infer probabalistic behaviours.
What is probabilistic behaviour?
Since a Persona is a mask worn by a person, understanding future Persona Behaviour allows us align our future products and services to the people behind the mask. Since we can never know exactly how behaviours will occur in the future we use Scenarios to determine a range of behaviours and to get a sense of the probability that some behaviours might occur in the future. If this seems a little strange consider the profession of Finance and how accountants forecast. A financial forecast is made to plan where a business is going and determine measures of success.
What is behind all those numbers carefully constructed by accountants in plans of one, two or more years? Stories, pure and simple. Accountants convert stories to numbers and place them in a structure called a chart of accounts. Then accountants manipulate numbers for the rest of the year in a way that separates them from the stories that were at their core. Indeed accountants ‘map’ out the future of the business with numbers rather than stories.
Our practice is to blend stories, numbers, maps and storyboards to avoid the common trap that marketers and accounts fall into as they manipulate numbers and stories independently of each other. This ’split’ causes stories and numbers that started at the same place to get out of sync with each other.
Stories and numbers continue to be aligned to Personae or the business gets out of harmony with customers and suppliers. The lack of harmony is a dis-ease which typically results in something breaking.
More about the link between numbers and stories may be found at http://personati.wordpress.com
Cheers,
Nick www.scenario2.com
NeuroPersona DNA and Predictive Analytics
November 16, 2008 at 4:34 am | In NeuroScience Marketing, Neuropersona, Persona Expertise, Persona Marketing, Persona Strategy, Predictive Analytics, persona behaviour | Leave a CommentTags: marketing, mask, Neuropersona, persona dna, storyboard
Does a persona have DNA?
A Persona is a mask that may be worn or removed at will though the wearer may be impacted by the stories and measures associated to the Persona. Simply put a Persona may act the same way on a person as DNA.
Like DNA a Persona’s stories may be mapped and measured, and Persona DNA is unique and permits many Personae to have similar features or characteristics. Unlike human DNA, a person can discard one Persona and pick up another many times in a day.
Many cultures have the concept of shapeshifters or tricksters that change their appearances at will and indeed this happens everyday in our own culture if you subscribe to the Persona concept.
In my experience Persona DNA proves to be a simple and effective analysis tool though this is ambiguous if you don’t differentiate between a Persona, person or market segment label.
Future posts will explore how different cultures view masks and the stories they represent.
Cheers,
Nick www.scenario2.com
Persona & Marketing Performance
November 12, 2008 at 5:07 am | In NeuroScience Marketing, Persona Expertise, Persona Marketing, Persona Strategy, persona behaviour | Leave a CommentTags: persona, Persona based Business Intelligence, Persona Driven Analysis & Portals, Wireframes & Scenarios
How do winners measure Marketing Performance?
Look at all those companies and organzations that are successful and you will see a common theme, service. Profit may not event be in the top three KPIs or key performance indicators and that is because profit is a symptom or result of success not the cause.
Service. It sounds simple though it requires consideration, focus and dedication, all of the things in short supply when times are tough. Oddly enough one of the toughest things required to be of service is to measure differently and shift perspectives from being a seller or provider to a buyer.
How does one accomplish a perspective shift? It may be easier to identify ways that it is not accomplished.
Do not offer services that have been successful yesterday. In tough times or good times people adjust and change the way they operate. This can be described as a change in process. All of the products or services that they bought yesterday served yesterdays processes and don’t fit today.
Do not copy your most successful competitor as they for similar reasons will be selling products and services that will not be in demand tomorrow and even more importantly it is extremely difficult to change what everyone sees as successful behaviour.
Do not listen to your most value customer as they typically demand help for problems that are causing them the most pain. Pain points can switch very quickly and hurt you too especially if you have built an inventory or trained staff to accomodate a problem that is about to disappear or be replaced.
But then what do we do and how do we shift our perspective to that of a buyer and attract success?
Understanding what people are about to do so that you can accomodate future success is the path less travelled and can be achieved with simple tools and consistant focused effort.
Here are two simple steps that will start you on the path.
- Pick the most successful products or services in your market, yours and your competitors and then identify the buyer processes that they serve today. Use this ‘magic pair’–product/service and buyer processes–and overlay them on top of your market segment lables. Pay close attention to those market segments that have the same processes.
- Create a Personae based on groups of buyer behaviours that may span market segments and then match the Personae to the products and services identified in step 1.
Now it gets simpler, we watch. We are watching for small changes in processes important to people while simultaneously watching to see if products or services are changing to accomodate processes that are new to our understanding of what buyers need today. In my experience this exercise provides a clear and simple indicator of what our clients, current and future, want tomorrow.
The simple truth of Marketing Performance or any performance indicator is that it measures what just happened, what was important yesterday. Shifting your perspective to Persona Behaviour will permit you to serve with future need in mind.
Once this is done please remember to shift your perspective of performance as your old measures, like fish on a counter in the hot sun, will start to smell badly, very quickly.
Cheers,
Nick nick@scenario2.com
TIPS, TOOLS, RESOURCES
Marketstory, Numerati, Persona, Wireframes & Scenarios Persona Driven Analysis & Portals Persona Based Business Intelligence 3D Persona
Persona Behaviour & Marketing Value
November 9, 2008 at 8:14 pm | In NeuroScience Marketing, Neuropersona, Persona Expertise, Persona Marketing, Persona Strategy, Predictive Analytics, persona behaviour | Leave a CommentTags: intelligence, marketstory, Neuropersona, persona, persona behaviour, Predictive Analytics, scenario2, story, value chain
Research indicates that Persona behaviour can span multiple interaction channels and shows that an individual can pick up and remove Persona masks at will according to their objectives and their measures of success.
Understanding how someone picks up and discards a Persona can help us serve our customers sublimely.
A laser like focus on service allows Persona practitioners to step up and offer unique value to our clients and their customers.
Persona Behaviour Predicts Future
November 5, 2008 at 6:41 pm | In Financial Risk, NeuroScience Marketing, Neuropersona, Persona Expertise, Persona Marketing, Persona Strategy, Predictive Analytics, persona behaviour | Leave a CommentTags: forecast, future, marketing, Neuropersona, persona, Predictive Analytics
Forecasts and the future may be important to accountants and marketers but are best determined by the storyteller who bridges the present and the future by using a tool called a Persona or the representation of how someone might act in the future according to objectives important to them at that time.
How can a storyteller understand the future? By using stories, pure and simple.
People depend on stories to understand their environment and processes important to them. In our current techno-oriented world processes are or rather need to be accelerated by software. Likewise stories create brand value which is then measured by numbers. I call this sentence my ‘Story Lens’–tell a story twice and it becomes a process, tell it again and someone writes software, tell it again and it becomes a brand value and tell it yet again and someone creates a measure or KPI.
The Story Lens is a tool that provides perspective to a person. Now it gets interesting.
Consider that perspective can be change at will and that perspective depends on what is being measured. Typically measures involve two elements, a data set and a formula–this is also called a KPI.
A KPI is pointed to a process which is also a behaviour exhibited by a Persona.
NOW…to understand the future we set TARGETS, usually numbers, that we use to compare our performance and help us adjust to our customer, competitive or market circumstances.
WHAT is the commonality between today and tomorrow? Stories, Numbers and Personae or people.
Understanding Persona behaviour allows us to understand what will happen in the future. The relationships between Numbers, Stories and the future is explored at www.scenario2.com or www.marketstory.com
Mis-behaving Personae and confused marketers.
November 4, 2008 at 8:24 pm | In NeuroScience Marketing, Neuropersona, Persona Marketing, Persona Strategy, persona behaviour | Leave a CommentTags: marketer, media, neuroperson, Neuropersona, persona behaviour, personae
As a warning to readers–the following post is not gentle and is meant to simulate creative thought…I hope!
Personae are cool, very cool and I promise you a unique way to understand and exploit their power. What is a persona? A persona is a mask which illuminates the potential behaviour of its wearer.
Why would marketers confuse a persona with a market segement? Desperation or worse? While I do know very professional and dedicated marketers, my sense is that most of them should either seriously or at least causally consider more fulfilling work.
As a storyteller, and fully recovered accountant, I am at a loss to explain why any sensible commercial entity would strip the stories that describe their customer interactions, replace them with a cash register transactional record and then one year later pay a marketer to poll an ‘average’ customer to determine why customers purchased their product in the past. To add insult to injuries the same marketer is usually asked to use the same ‘data’ to determine the future behaviour of said ‘customer’.
I call these type of operators ‘numerati‘ or confused marketers who believe that numbers alone reveal truth.
Market segmentation techniques are useful, polling is useful, conversations with customers help significantly and at the end of the day all are helpful. What is less helpfull is taking stories that occurred in the past and casting them forward in a changed world where the only way to truly understand future behaviour is to ask someone shortly before or immediately after it is observed.
The most interesting expression of persona behaviours is taking place right now with the US Presidential election with Barack Obama and John McCain. Consider the manner in which stories, behaviours and action are being synchronized by the Obama campaign and the lack of same by the McCain camp. While this type of accord may be happening spontaneously, it is interesting to watch, especially when you consider that the persona behaviours of the candidates and their followers span media, locations and time.
In my opinion a serious marketer or persona practitioner would do well by observing the last 3 months of the US presidential campaign.
Persona Behaviour Tools–> www.scenario2.com
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